Barack Obama Will Clinch the Nomination on 5/6
I was just running through some numbers, out of curiosity, and I noticed something: Barack Obama has a good chance at clinching the nomination on May 6th. Taking a pessimistic approach, let’s assume Clinton defeats Obama in PA, winning 89 delegates to his 69. Let’s then assume Guam, Indiana, and North Carolina are ties (I’ll even give Clinton the extra delegate in NC). At that point, according to CNN’s current delegate counts, Obama will have 1,785 delegates. With the threshold standing at 2,024, that’s just 239 delegates away. At that point, a rallying among just about 2/3 of the 350 remaining superdelegates could declare Barack Obama the presumptive nominee, whereas Hillary Clinton would still be out of reach.
